Race 1B

george-morris

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alex Moreno 16.9% 16.1% 15.6% 13.8% 11.4% 10.2% 7.0% 5.5% 2.9% 0.6%
Peter Lynn 24.3% 19.3% 17.5% 13.8% 9.6% 6.5% 5.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Florian Eenkema Van Dijk 13.5% 14.2% 12.4% 12.7% 15.7% 10.6% 10.9% 6.0% 3.4% 0.6%
Connor Chung 10.0% 12.8% 13.7% 13.3% 12.9% 12.5% 11.4% 7.1% 5.1% 1.2%
Catherine Kerner 7.0% 8.1% 7.0% 8.5% 9.2% 12.1% 15.2% 15.4% 13.1% 4.4%
Henry Sharpe 7.9% 7.8% 8.2% 8.8% 10.6% 12.6% 12.3% 15.4% 11.7% 4.7%
Maxwell McKinney 2.3% 2.9% 3.5% 4.5% 5.7% 7.5% 9.4% 16.1% 28.9% 19.2%
Matthew Schryver 8.9% 9.6% 12.6% 10.6% 11.4% 13.2% 12.2% 11.9% 7.4% 2.2%
Charles Hicks 8.2% 8.1% 8.8% 11.9% 10.4% 12.1% 12.9% 14.0% 10.4% 3.2%
Edgard Sanchez 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 2.1% 3.1% 2.7% 3.6% 6.1% 15.8% 63.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.