Race 2B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter Lynn 25.6% 21.2% 14.1% 13.3% 10.3% 7.1% 4.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Alex Moreno 15.5% 15.1% 15.8% 13.1% 13.2% 10.0% 8.3% 6.4% 2.3% 0.3%
Catherine Kerner 6.9% 6.9% 8.0% 6.8% 9.2% 12.3% 15.6% 14.3% 14.4% 5.6%
Connor Chung 10.6% 11.6% 13.9% 13.9% 13.2% 13.0% 9.8% 8.3% 5.1% 0.6%
Edgard Sanchez 1.3% 1.4% 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 3.6% 3.5% 6.8% 14.3% 62.8%
Henry Sharpe 8.1% 7.4% 8.4% 9.0% 10.9% 11.7% 13.1% 13.4% 13.6% 4.4%
Florian Eenkema Van Dijk 13.2% 14.2% 15.2% 13.5% 13.5% 12.5% 7.7% 6.2% 3.5% 0.5%
Charles Hicks 6.8% 10.2% 9.5% 10.6% 10.6% 12.1% 13.2% 14.3% 9.3% 3.4%
Matthew Schryver 9.2% 8.8% 9.7% 12.9% 11.9% 10.4% 14.1% 13.0% 8.5% 1.5%
Maxwell McKinney 2.8% 3.2% 3.7% 4.8% 4.7% 7.3% 10.6% 14.5% 27.8% 20.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.