Race 3B

george-morris

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter Lynn 26.2% 20.1% 15.6% 12.3% 10.3% 6.5% 5.1% 2.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Matthew Schryver 9.1% 8.1% 11.5% 10.9% 11.5% 12.9% 12.7% 13.4% 7.4% 2.5%
Alex Moreno 15.9% 15.4% 13.1% 14.1% 14.6% 10.6% 7.4% 6.0% 2.7% 0.2%
Connor Chung 10.7% 12.1% 12.9% 13.9% 13.1% 13.2% 10.9% 8.4% 3.9% 0.9%
Henry Sharpe 7.8% 8.1% 8.1% 8.6% 9.9% 12.1% 15.1% 14.5% 11.9% 3.9%
Charles Hicks 8.9% 8.8% 8.7% 10.5% 11.5% 10.7% 12.9% 14.3% 10.5% 3.2%
Florian Eenkema Van Dijk 11.7% 15.5% 14.8% 15.5% 12.1% 11.5% 8.9% 6.6% 2.8% 0.6%
Catherine Kerner 5.9% 7.6% 9.3% 8.8% 8.6% 12.9% 13.3% 14.6% 14.3% 4.7%
Edgard Sanchez 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 1.6% 1.6% 2.3% 4.8% 6.2% 14.5% 64.9%
Maxwell McKinney 2.6% 3.2% 4.2% 3.8% 6.8% 7.3% 8.9% 13.5% 30.8% 18.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.