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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+3.19vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+2.02vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.90+0.27vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20+0.64vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.94+0.20vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.70-0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.80-1.48vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.61-2.09vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.83-1.48vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-0.17-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Tufts University2.390.2%1st Place
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4.02Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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3.27Boston College2.900.2%1st Place
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4.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.74Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Vermont1.800.1%1st Place
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5.91Harvard University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.52University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.0%1st Place
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8.99Rutgers University-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 16.6% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Alex Moreno | 15.8% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Peter Lynn | 23.3% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chung | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Schryver | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Henry Sharpe | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 4.6% |
| Charles Hicks | 5.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 3.2% |
| Catherine Kerner | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 4.4% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 29.5% | 19.5% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 15.9% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.