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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20+3.64vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.90+1.26vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.39+1.33vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.51-0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.80+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara0.83+1.47vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.61-1.07vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.70-2.28vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.94-3.81vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-0.17-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
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3.26Boston College2.900.2%1st Place
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4.33Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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3.98Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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5.5University of Vermont1.800.1%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.0%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.72Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
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5.19University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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8.99Rutgers University-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Chung | 12.4% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 0.7% |
| Peter Lynn | 23.9% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 15.3% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Charles Hicks | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 3.2% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 29.8% | 20.0% |
| Catherine Kerner | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 5.0% |
| Henry Sharpe | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Schryver | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 14.4% | 64.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.