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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter Lynn 27.3% 18.8% 16.1% 12.4% 9.9% 6.7% 4.5% 3.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Alex Moreno 15.3% 16.2% 15.0% 14.1% 11.5% 11.0% 8.3% 5.2% 2.8% 0.6%
Florian Eenkema Van Dijk 14.2% 12.1% 14.8% 12.5% 14.7% 12.0% 8.9% 7.0% 3.1% 0.7%
Henry Sharpe 5.8% 7.2% 10.4% 9.9% 10.3% 11.7% 15.4% 13.1% 12.5% 3.7%
Charles Hicks 8.2% 9.1% 8.4% 9.7% 11.5% 12.5% 13.5% 14.0% 9.5% 3.6%
Matthew Schryver 10.2% 9.2% 9.7% 12.1% 12.6% 11.0% 11.6% 13.4% 7.5% 2.7%
Connor Chung 9.3% 14.7% 12.1% 14.5% 11.5% 12.7% 11.7% 8.4% 3.9% 1.2%
Catherine Kerner 6.1% 7.9% 8.9% 8.7% 9.5% 11.8% 13.0% 15.6% 14.1% 4.4%
Maxwell McKinney 2.5% 3.6% 3.7% 3.9% 5.7% 7.7% 10.6% 12.5% 29.8% 20.0%
Edgard Sanchez 1.1% 1.2% 0.9% 2.2% 2.8% 2.9% 2.5% 7.3% 16.2% 62.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.