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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.90+2.19vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+2.03vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.39+1.32vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.70+1.75vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.80+0.51vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.94-0.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20-2.37vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.61-2.12vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.83-1.46vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-0.17-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Boston College2.900.3%1st Place
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4.03Boston University2.510.2%1st Place
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4.32Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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5.75Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Vermont1.800.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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4.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
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5.88Harvard University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.0%1st Place
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8.97Rutgers University-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lynn | 27.3% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Alex Moreno | 15.3% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 14.2% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Henry Sharpe | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 3.7% |
| Charles Hicks | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 3.6% |
| Matthew Schryver | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Connor Chung | 9.3% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Catherine Kerner | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 4.4% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 29.8% | 20.0% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 7.3% | 16.2% | 62.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.