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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.80+4.64vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.90+1.46vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14+0.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.73+1.85vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.61+1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.94-0.64vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.51-2.81vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20-3.19vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.83-1.39vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-0.17-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64University of Vermont1.800.1%1st Place
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3.46Boston College2.900.2%1st Place
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3.03Tufts University3.140.3%1st Place
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5.85Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.04Harvard University1.610.1%1st Place
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5.36University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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4.19Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
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7.61University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.0%1st Place
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9.01Rutgers University-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Hicks | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 2.7% |
| Peter Lynn | 20.6% | 19.6% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 25.1% | 21.7% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Jordan | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 4.0% |
| Catherine Kerner | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 5.3% |
| Matthew Schryver | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Alex Moreno | 11.7% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Connor Chung | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 28.7% | 20.6% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 16.0% | 63.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.