Race 4B

boston-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alejandro Bancalari 8.6% 8.4% 10.6% 11.7% 12.8% 17.8% 15.6% 9.9% 3.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Meghan Pesch 18.6% 15.9% 17.0% 13.1% 14.0% 10.6% 6.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Tamblyn 22.7% 22.1% 18.2% 14.5% 10.4% 6.5% 4.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Remeika 10.3% 11.4% 9.9% 13.8% 14.1% 14.4% 14.1% 8.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Martin McDonald 13.5% 14.4% 13.1% 14.0% 12.1% 12.5% 12.5% 5.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
John Duncan 8.3% 8.9% 10.3% 10.8% 14.7% 14.0% 15.0% 11.7% 4.9% 1.3% 0.1%
Alexander Francis 1.5% 2.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.9% 3.6% 7.4% 17.1% 25.3% 33.6% 2.0%
Sarah Fiske 13.2% 12.9% 15.5% 14.1% 12.3% 12.4% 11.0% 5.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Melinda Moynihan 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 2.6% 3.0% 3.6% 6.4% 19.1% 27.1% 29.7% 3.3%
Terry Clarke 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 3.1% 3.7% 4.4% 6.6% 17.8% 29.4% 28.7% 1.6%
Alan Sanders 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 1.5% 4.1% 93.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.