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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.14+1.80vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20+2.53vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.73+2.62vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.94+1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.80+0.29vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.61-0.34vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.56-1.17vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.90-4.86vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.83-1.85vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-2.76-0.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Tufts University3.140.3%1st Place
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4.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
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5.62Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Vermont1.800.1%1st Place
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5.66Harvard University1.610.1%1st Place
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5.83Boston University1.560.1%1st Place
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3.14Boston College2.900.2%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.0%1st Place
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9.92Rutgers University-2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 29.7% | 23.7% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chung | 10.8% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Jordan | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Schryver | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 0.2% |
| Charles Hicks | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 0.4% |
| Catherine Kerner | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 0.3% |
| John Wetzel | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 0.5% |
| Peter Lynn | 22.3% | 22.1% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 39.4% | 1.7% |
| Declan McNamara | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 2.4% | 96.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.