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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.14+1.79vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.94+3.10vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.73+2.59vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20+0.52vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.56+0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.80-0.72vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.90-3.81vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.61-2.32vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.83-1.85vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-2.76-0.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Tufts University3.140.3%1st Place
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5.1University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.59Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
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5.78Boston University1.560.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Vermont1.800.1%1st Place
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3.19Boston College2.900.2%1st Place
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5.68Harvard University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Santa Barbara0.830.0%1st Place
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9.93Rutgers University-2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 32.0% | 21.2% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Jordan | 7.3% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 0.5% |
| Connor Chung | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| John Wetzel | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 0.6% |
| Charles Hicks | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 8.0% | 0.2% |
| Peter Lynn | 19.7% | 23.5% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Kerner | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell McKinney | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 40.6% | 1.6% |
| Declan McNamara | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 2.3% | 96.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.