← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jackson McCoy 32.0% 21.2% 16.7% 12.0% 8.8% 5.1% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Matthew Schryver 8.6% 8.3% 11.8% 12.2% 13.8% 12.9% 13.0% 11.6% 7.6% 0.2%
Zachary Jordan 7.3% 6.0% 10.1% 8.7% 12.0% 13.3% 16.8% 15.5% 9.8% 0.5%
Connor Chung 9.7% 12.0% 14.4% 15.4% 13.2% 14.4% 9.7% 7.9% 3.1% 0.2%
John Wetzel 6.6% 7.3% 7.3% 10.1% 9.9% 11.8% 16.4% 16.4% 13.6% 0.6%
Charles Hicks 7.8% 9.3% 9.1% 10.7% 13.9% 13.9% 12.2% 14.9% 8.0% 0.2%
Peter Lynn 19.7% 23.5% 18.4% 15.8% 10.2% 6.4% 3.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Catherine Kerner 5.9% 8.0% 8.2% 10.9% 10.5% 13.2% 14.8% 14.1% 14.2% 0.2%
Maxwell McKinney 2.3% 4.2% 4.0% 4.1% 7.7% 8.9% 10.5% 16.1% 40.6% 1.6%
Declan McNamara 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 2.3% 96.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.