Race 1A

greater-ny-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Samuel Shea 22.3% 17.9% 18.6% 14.7% 10.8% 7.9% 4.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Anders Ekholm 13.8% 15.3% 13.8% 12.6% 13.8% 10.9% 9.4% 6.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
John Lawless 20.8% 16.8% 14.6% 14.4% 11.9% 11.1% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Birmingham 10.0% 14.1% 13.4% 13.8% 13.4% 12.1% 10.5% 6.5% 3.7% 2.1% 0.2% 0.2%
Lillian Vincens 3.8% 4.4% 6.8% 6.1% 6.5% 10.0% 12.2% 15.2% 15.2% 12.6% 6.0% 1.2%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 4.7% 4.5% 7.0% 7.5% 7.3% 10.0% 11.7% 16.3% 15.8% 10.6% 4.2% 0.4%
Michael Danko 4.4% 3.4% 4.6% 7.0% 8.1% 8.9% 10.4% 14.5% 16.2% 15.3% 5.4% 1.8%
Graham Hughes 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 2.6% 3.5% 4.9% 8.6% 22.8% 52.7%
Matthew Roleke 12.4% 15.6% 13.9% 13.9% 13.3% 12.1% 9.0% 5.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Calvin Tong 5.0% 5.3% 5.5% 5.8% 8.7% 8.6% 13.4% 14.8% 16.2% 11.9% 4.3% 0.5%
Peter Sander 1.9% 1.5% 1.1% 2.7% 3.3% 4.9% 7.2% 8.8% 13.4% 23.2% 23.6% 8.4%
Jacob Correia 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 1.8% 1.7% 3.4% 3.2% 6.0% 13.3% 33.5% 34.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.