← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.71+3.63vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.32+1.31vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.87+1.21vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.40vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University0.75+1.77vs Predicted
-
6Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-1.58vs Predicted
-
7Columbia University0.68-0.24vs Predicted
-
8Fairfield University0.64-1.14vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.17vs Predicted
-
10Syracuse University-1.26+0.38vs Predicted
-
11Sacred Heart University-1.60-0.08vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Military Academy0.51-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.63Cornell University1.710.1%1st Place
-
3.31Tufts University2.320.2%1st Place
-
4.21Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
-
3.6SUNY Maritime College2.140.2%1st Place
-
6.77Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
-
4.42Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
-
6.76Columbia University0.680.0%1st Place
-
6.86Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
-
8.83SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
-
10.38Syracuse University-1.260.0%1st Place
-
10.92Sacred Heart University-1.600.0%1st Place
-
7.32U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Birmingham | 11.5% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Shea | 21.2% | 22.2% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 14.6% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 19.3% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Roleke | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Tong | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Lillian Vincens | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Peter Sander | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 22.5% | 22.2% | 5.5% |
| Jacob Correia | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 13.1% | 32.9% | 34.3% |
| Graham Hughes | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 23.5% | 55.3% |
| Michael Danko | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.