Race 3A

greater-ny-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Samuel Shea 27.3% 22.3% 18.5% 14.4% 8.3% 5.1% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anders Ekholm 17.0% 17.2% 18.2% 14.4% 12.2% 9.8% 6.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lillian Vincens 5.6% 6.7% 5.8% 9.3% 9.4% 12.1% 13.9% 17.2% 13.1% 5.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Peter Sander 1.3% 2.3% 2.9% 4.0% 4.5% 5.7% 10.2% 13.5% 22.4% 20.8% 9.8% 2.6%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 5.1% 7.2% 7.9% 8.5% 11.5% 12.7% 14.5% 13.9% 11.4% 6.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Matthew Roleke 15.6% 16.8% 14.4% 15.1% 15.4% 10.5% 7.4% 3.0% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Daniel Birmingham 16.5% 14.8% 16.0% 13.8% 14.0% 10.8% 7.0% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Correia 0.5% 0.6% 1.2% 1.9% 2.0% 3.8% 4.4% 6.1% 10.3% 25.4% 28.9% 14.9%
Michael Danko 4.2% 5.0% 6.0% 7.9% 10.4% 13.6% 14.4% 17.6% 12.3% 6.9% 1.6% 0.1%
Calvin Tong 5.7% 6.2% 7.9% 8.9% 10.8% 12.8% 15.0% 13.5% 12.1% 5.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Graham Hughes 0.9% 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 3.5% 9.5% 17.0% 33.3% 28.4%
Matthew Daghir 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 1.4% 2.1% 2.2% 4.0% 12.1% 22.3% 53.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.