Race 1B

greater-ny-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Tucker Hersam 30.4% 23.8% 17.9% 13.4% 6.7% 4.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Lithen 2.0% 1.7% 3.2% 3.2% 5.8% 7.6% 12.0% 15.3% 20.9% 19.6% 8.3% 0.4%
Ethan Andersen 18.9% 17.1% 16.6% 15.4% 12.4% 9.8% 6.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Houchois 3.7% 5.1% 5.7% 7.3% 10.4% 11.8% 17.0% 17.2% 13.0% 6.5% 2.1% 0.2%
Andrew O'Brien 9.2% 9.6% 10.9% 11.6% 14.2% 14.7% 11.4% 11.2% 5.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Rebecca Rutkiewicz 2.0% 1.9% 2.1% 3.7% 3.9% 6.6% 9.2% 13.1% 21.9% 23.4% 11.7% 0.5%
Robert Whitaker 8.8% 9.7% 11.7% 11.6% 13.3% 14.1% 12.3% 10.9% 5.0% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Matthew Fanelli 0.9% 1.5% 2.2% 3.4% 3.8% 4.9% 6.7% 12.5% 18.5% 25.4% 19.0% 1.2%
Aaron Klein 10.9% 16.2% 15.6% 13.9% 14.2% 11.5% 9.3% 5.2% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Aidan Molesky 12.3% 12.4% 13.7% 15.1% 14.1% 13.0% 9.7% 6.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Miranda Burford 0.8% 0.9% 0.4% 1.3% 1.1% 1.3% 2.9% 4.8% 9.3% 18.1% 54.2% 4.9%
Nick Grant 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 1.3% 4.0% 92.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.