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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.40+1.73vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.87+1.59vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.23+4.83vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.47+0.39vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.01vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.47+0.44vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.40+1.03vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.09-2.93vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.71-0.33vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.44-5.62vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-1.58-0.98vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-4.31-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Fordham University2.400.3%1st Place
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3.59Cornell University1.870.2%1st Place
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7.83SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
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4.39Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
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5.01Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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6.44Columbia University0.470.0%1st Place
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8.03Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.07Princeton University1.090.1%1st Place
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8.67Fairfield University-0.710.0%1st Place
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4.38SUNY Maritime College1.440.1%1st Place
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10.02Syracuse University-1.580.0%1st Place
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11.85U. S. Military Academy-4.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Hersam | 28.4% | 25.7% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 17.7% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lithen | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 16.1% | 21.2% | 20.1% | 8.8% | 0.1% |
| Aaron Klein | 11.0% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 9.0% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Houchois | 4.4% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 20.5% | 12.2% | 0.5% |
| Robert Whitaker | 10.1% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Fanelli | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 19.5% | 25.8% | 18.6% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Molesky | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Burford | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 18.3% | 53.8% | 5.3% |
| Nick Grant | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 3.9% | 93.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.