Race 3B

greater-ny-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Aaron Klein 12.6% 11.7% 14.4% 14.3% 13.8% 11.9% 11.7% 6.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Ethan Andersen 17.8% 19.3% 16.9% 13.7% 12.9% 9.8% 6.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tucker Hersam 30.5% 24.8% 17.7% 12.3% 7.3% 4.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew O'Brien 8.2% 9.8% 10.5% 13.8% 13.8% 14.1% 12.8% 9.5% 4.5% 2.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Matthew Fanelli 1.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.7% 3.4% 4.0% 6.6% 12.5% 18.3% 27.2% 18.9% 1.4%
Rebecca Rutkiewicz 1.9% 1.9% 2.6% 3.6% 4.3% 5.3% 9.7% 14.1% 21.9% 21.7% 12.5% 0.5%
Andrew Lithen 2.4% 3.2% 2.6% 4.1% 6.0% 7.3% 9.8% 17.0% 18.7% 19.1% 9.3% 0.5%
Nicholas Houchois 5.9% 5.3% 6.5% 7.2% 10.0% 10.9% 14.9% 15.5% 14.8% 6.5% 2.4% 0.1%
Robert Whitaker 8.1% 9.2% 12.4% 12.5% 13.0% 15.9% 12.8% 9.1% 5.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Miranda Burford 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 1.6% 1.4% 2.4% 3.1% 5.7% 8.9% 18.1% 52.7% 4.4%
Aidan Molesky 10.8% 12.3% 13.7% 14.1% 13.9% 13.4% 10.6% 6.6% 4.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nick Grant 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.5% 0.3% 2.1% 3.4% 93.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.