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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+4.10vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.14+10.96vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.47vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.58+1.83vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.45vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.29vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.47vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.11-0.91vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61-3.21vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia1.31-0.28vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.71-2.47vs Predicted
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12Queen's University0.17+0.92vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.14-5.77vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.46+0.42vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.58-3.21vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.14-2.28vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-0.87-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.96Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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4.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
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5.83George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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7.09Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.79Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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8.53Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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12.92Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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7.23Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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14.42Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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11.79Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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13.72SUNY Stony Brook-0.140.0%1st Place
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15.14William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antonia Leggett | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 8.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 15.3% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 11.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gowell | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Attardi | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christina Black | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 8.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 22.3% | 25.5% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Maisy Claudio | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 14.2% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 20.4% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.