← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.32vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.50vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.76+2.23vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.56vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.11+2.10vs Predicted
-
6Columbia University0.14+7.13vs Predicted
-
7University of Virginia1.31+2.74vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.96vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University1.71-0.41vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University2.58-4.30vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University2.61-5.16vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Stony Brook-0.14+1.66vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University2.14-5.70vs Predicted
-
14Drexel University0.58-2.08vs Predicted
-
15Queen's University0.17-2.17vs Predicted
-
16Monmouth University-0.46-1.61vs Predicted
-
17William and Mary-0.87-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
-
5.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
-
5.23Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
6.56U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
-
7.1Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
-
13.13Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
-
9.74University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
-
6.04University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
-
8.59Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
-
5.7George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
-
5.84Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
-
13.66SUNY Stony Brook-0.140.0%1st Place
-
7.3Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
11.92Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
-
12.83Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
-
14.39Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
15.16William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 17.8% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 11.9% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Antonia Leggett | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 9.7% |
| Julia Gowell | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ava Esquier | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maisy Claudio | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 14.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Christina Black | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 7.3% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 21.2% | 23.7% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.