← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida4.10+4.95vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy4.34+3.29vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University3.92+3.68vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.64+3.77vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University4.33+0.38vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+4.36vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University2.47+4.62vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island3.59-0.35vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin2.72+1.71vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College3.24-1.96vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College4.15-6.13vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-5.07vs Predicted
-
14Washington College4.25-8.45vs Predicted
-
15University of Texas2.50-3.59vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University2.14-3.34vs Predicted
-
17Clemson University2.34-4.89vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University3.92-11.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.95University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
-
5.29U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
-
6.68Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
-
7.77College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
-
5.38Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
-
10.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
-
11.62Old Dominion University2.470.0%1st Place
-
7.65University of Rhode Island3.590.1%1st Place
-
10.71University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
-
9.04Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
-
5.87SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
-
7.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
-
5.55Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
-
11.41University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
-
12.66Tulane University2.140.0%1st Place
-
12.11Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
-
6.68Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Hall | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 14.1% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 11.0% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Shockey | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Mike Warren | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Verney | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 11.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Whitman | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Blouin | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Proctor | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Chris Raff | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 28.3% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.