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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+7.87vs Predicted
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2Washington College4.25+8.03vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.28+6.94vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University5.19+2.02vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.74+7.20vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy4.34+3.62vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont4.60+1.69vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-0.78vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.64+3.65vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.52-1.25vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston4.76-3.23vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.99-0.60vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.85-5.26vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.00+4.00vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.92-3.55vs Predicted
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16University of Washington2.87-0.45vs Predicted
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17Tufts University4.33-7.59vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College4.15-7.44vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin4.10-8.42vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University3.47-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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10.03Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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9.94Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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6.02Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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12.2University of South Florida3.740.0%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Naval Academy4.340.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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7.22St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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12.65Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
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8.75Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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7.77College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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11.4University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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7.74Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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18.0Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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11.45Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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15.55University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.56SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
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13.56Old Dominion University3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Blouin | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Blouin | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Jeff Knowles | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Britton Steele | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Robert Vann | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Clinton Hayes | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Menninger | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Stemler | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 3.7% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Juan Maegli | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Barrows | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 13.3% | 57.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 22.7% | 18.8% |
| Tomas Hornos | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Shawn Murray | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.