Race 5B

boston-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christopher Remeika 8.6% 12.0% 12.6% 14.8% 13.1% 15.9% 12.6% 7.7% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Meghan Pesch 18.1% 16.0% 16.3% 14.6% 12.8% 12.1% 6.1% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Martin McDonald 12.5% 11.7% 13.3% 14.0% 14.2% 13.0% 13.5% 5.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Alejandro Bancalari 8.2% 9.3% 9.9% 12.2% 13.4% 14.6% 16.6% 10.8% 4.2% 0.8% 0.0%
John Duncan 8.9% 9.2% 10.3% 11.1% 13.5% 13.1% 17.1% 10.4% 5.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Andrew Tamblyn 25.3% 23.0% 18.8% 11.7% 8.5% 7.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Sarah Fiske 13.6% 14.6% 13.1% 14.5% 14.6% 12.5% 10.0% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Melinda Moynihan 1.8% 1.1% 1.8% 2.2% 3.7% 3.9% 8.2% 19.8% 28.0% 28.0% 1.5%
Terry Clarke 1.4% 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.9% 3.3% 6.1% 18.0% 28.6% 29.7% 3.4%
Alexander Francis 1.4% 1.2% 1.4% 2.5% 3.1% 4.4% 5.8% 18.0% 25.2% 35.1% 1.9%
Alan Sanders 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 1.6% 4.0% 93.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.