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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.33vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.52vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.14+4.15vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.61+1.75vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.76+0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.31vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.42vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia1.31+1.54vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58-3.11vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.71-1.57vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.11-3.62vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.46+2.39vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.14-0.04vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.58-2.08vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.14-1.41vs Predicted
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16Queen's University0.17-3.05vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-0.87-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
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5.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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7.15Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.75Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.09Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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5.89George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.43Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.38Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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14.39Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.96Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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11.92Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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13.59SUNY Stony Brook-0.140.0%1st Place
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12.95Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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15.2William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 17.4% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gowell | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 21.9% | 25.2% |
| Antonia Leggett | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 9.2% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 2.5% |
| Maisy Claudio | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 21.3% | 13.5% |
| Christina Black | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 7.9% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 19.8% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.