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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.54vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+3.62vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.58+2.80vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+1.34vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.62vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.58+6.05vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.11+0.22vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.62vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia1.31+0.84vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.91vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.71-2.50vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.14+0.97vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.14+0.59vs Predicted
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14Queen's University0.17-1.00vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.14-7.85vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-0.46-1.65vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-0.87-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.62Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.8George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.34Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
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12.05Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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7.22Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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6.09University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.5Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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12.97Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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13.59SUNY Stony Brook-0.140.0%1st Place
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13.0Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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7.15Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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14.35Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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15.16William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 9.5% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 16.8% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gowell | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Antonia Leggett | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 8.5% |
| Maisy Claudio | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 14.7% |
| Christina Black | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 8.8% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 23.5% | 22.0% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.