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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.37vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+3.63vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.66vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+1.37vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+0.65vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.11+1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.75vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia1.31+1.57vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.30vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14-2.95vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.58+0.86vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.71-3.57vs Predicted
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13Queen's University0.17-0.12vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.46+0.42vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.14-1.42vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.14-2.98vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-0.87-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
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5.63Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.37Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.65George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.38Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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7.05Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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11.86Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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8.43Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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12.88Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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14.42Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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13.58SUNY Stony Brook-0.140.0%1st Place
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13.02Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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15.18William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 16.9% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 10.5% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 10.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gowell | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Hughes | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Amanda Attardi | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christina Black | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 8.4% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 23.3% | 25.0% |
| Maisy Claudio | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 13.4% |
| Antonia Leggett | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 8.2% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 20.2% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.