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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.53vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.11+5.12vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+2.26vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.58+1.87vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia1.31+4.62vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.64vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.57vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.87vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.71-0.33vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14-2.98vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.14+2.04vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.61-6.29vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.58-1.18vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.14-0.27vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.87+0.05vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-0.46-1.63vs Predicted
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17Queen's University0.17-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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7.12Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.26Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.87George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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4.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
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6.13University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.67Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.02Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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13.04Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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5.71Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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11.82Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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13.73SUNY Stony Brook-0.140.0%1st Place
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15.05William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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14.37Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.99Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 11.9% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gowell | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 15.8% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Antonia Leggett | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 9.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Maisy Claudio | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 20.5% | 13.9% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 18.8% | 41.2% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 21.6% | 22.6% |
| Christina Black | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.