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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.61+4.58vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.71+6.41vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.67vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.58+1.89vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.76+0.12vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.41vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.40vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.63vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.11-2.91vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.58+0.87vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia1.31-2.38vs Predicted
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13Queen's University0.17-0.12vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.14-0.94vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.14-1.39vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.87-0.82vs Predicted
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17Monmouth University-0.46-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.41Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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5.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.89George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.12Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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7.04Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.37University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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7.09Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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11.87Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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12.88Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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13.06Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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13.61SUNY Stony Brook-0.140.0%1st Place
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15.18William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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14.42Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Ferguson | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 11.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 13.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Julia Gowell | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Christina Black | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 7.5% |
| Antonia Leggett | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 9.6% |
| Maisy Claudio | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 14.6% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 21.1% | 40.5% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 22.6% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.