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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.33+5.31vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia1.31+7.56vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.40vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+1.22vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.42vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.71+2.53vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.61-1.37vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.58-2.42vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.72vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.70-1.64vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.17+1.88vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.14-4.94vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.58-1.25vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.14-0.29vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.14-2.16vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.87-0.87vs Predicted
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17Monmouth University-0.46-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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4.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
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5.22Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.53Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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5.63Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.58George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.36Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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12.88Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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7.06Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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11.75Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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13.71SUNY Stony Brook-0.140.0%1st Place
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12.84Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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15.13William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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14.34Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Hughes | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gowell | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 16.7% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 13.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Christina Black | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 8.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 2.6% |
| Maisy Claudio | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 19.7% | 17.1% | 15.8% |
| Antonia Leggett | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 8.3% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 19.4% | 40.4% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 23.3% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.