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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.69+2.67vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.58+4.76vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.03+6.18vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.08+0.28vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74+6.87vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.42+0.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.07+1.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.87+4.47vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.52+2.13vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88+2.29vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.19+2.99vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.55+3.42vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46-2.49vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.40-3.76vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.84-2.61vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.88-3.42vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-0.89-4.44vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.82+2.26vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-0.91-6.49vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-2.06-2.20vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.84-4.16vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-2.46-2.60vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-2.15-4.64vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.90-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67University of California at Santa Cruz1.6922.7%1st Place
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6.76University of California at Santa Cruz0.587.2%1st Place
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9.18University of California at San Diego0.034.8%1st Place
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4.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.4520.7%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Santa Barbara1.0810.6%1st Place
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12.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.741.9%1st Place
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7.59University of California at Berkeley0.425.8%1st Place
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9.27University of California at Santa Cruz0.073.8%1st Place
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13.47University of California at San Diego-0.871.4%1st Place
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12.13Arizona State University-0.522.5%1st Place
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13.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.881.8%1st Place
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14.99San Diego State University-1.191.2%1st Place
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16.42Arizona State University-1.551.0%1st Place
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11.51University of California at Santa Cruz-0.462.6%1st Place
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11.24Arizona State University-0.402.6%1st Place
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13.39University of California at Berkeley-0.841.6%1st Place
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13.58University of California at Irvine-0.881.9%1st Place
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13.56University of California at Santa Cruz-0.891.7%1st Place
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21.26University of California at Los Angeles-2.820.2%1st Place
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13.51San Diego State University-0.911.7%1st Place
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18.8University of California at Irvine-2.060.8%1st Place
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17.84University of California at Los Angeles-1.841.0%1st Place
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20.4University of California at Davis-2.460.4%1st Place
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19.36University of California at Davis-2.150.2%1st Place
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21.59University of California at Davis-2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 22.7% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kim | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Henderson | 20.7% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 10.6% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Burns | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Annika Baumgartner | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Down | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Alger | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Mason Norwood | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Nolan Whitehill | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Fletcher Steinberg | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Nuckowski | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 20.3% | 27.9% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ian Galbraith | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 6.6% |
| Ashley Ragon | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 17.0% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 9.3% |
| James Carney | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.