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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.58+4.61vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+3.16vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.39vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia1.31+5.66vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.38vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61-0.28vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.79vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14-1.09vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.70-0.42vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.71-1.71vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.14+2.63vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.33-5.59vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.58-1.24vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.87+1.09vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.14-2.11vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-0.46-1.61vs Predicted
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17Queen's University0.17-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.16Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
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9.66University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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5.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.72Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.91Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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8.58Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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8.29Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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13.63SUNY Stony Brook-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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11.76Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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15.09William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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12.89Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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14.39Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.92Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Bakos | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 15.6% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gowell | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Maisy Claudio | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 20.6% | 14.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 19.3% | 41.7% |
| Antonia Leggett | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 8.3% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 20.8% | 23.4% |
| Christina Black | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.