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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+4.44vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+4.21vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.61+1.79vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+0.63vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76-0.63vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.55vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia1.31+1.57vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.71-0.37vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.88vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.58+0.84vs Predicted
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12Queen's University0.17+0.91vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.14-5.70vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.14-0.93vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.46-0.69vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.87-0.87vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.14-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.44U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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7.21Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.79Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.63George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.37Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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8.63Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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11.84Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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12.91Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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7.3Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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13.07Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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14.31Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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15.13William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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13.7SUNY Stony Brook-0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 14.9% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gowell | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 2.8% |
| Christina Black | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 7.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Antonia Leggett | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 9.2% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 22.7% | 24.3% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 18.3% | 41.4% |
| Maisy Claudio | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.