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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+4.09vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.77+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.27+5.79vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.21+7.91vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.25vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.19+0.16vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.74+0.45vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76-3.59vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.20vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+3.74vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.35-2.29vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University0.53-0.93vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.14-6.71vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.24-0.87vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.42-1.56vs Predicted
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16Queen's University0.53-4.90vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-2.18-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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4.36Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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8.79University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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11.91Old Dominion University0.210.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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6.16Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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7.45Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.41George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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13.74SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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8.71Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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11.07Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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13.13Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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13.44Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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11.1Queen's University0.530.0%1st Place
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16.31William and Mary-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 15.8% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Elleanor Wells | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 7.7% | 2.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 15.9% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 24.1% | 8.9% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 21.0% | 5.7% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 23.8% | 6.9% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Raymond | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 11.6% | 74.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.