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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+4.05vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.31vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77+1.42vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.26vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+0.49vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.35+2.78vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-0.24+6.03vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.74-0.71vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+4.89vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.21+1.98vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.76-6.43vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University0.53-0.96vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.27-4.04vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.19-7.85vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.42-1.61vs Predicted
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16Queen's University0.53-4.90vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-2.18-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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4.42Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.26U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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5.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.78Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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13.03Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.29Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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13.89SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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11.98Old Dominion University0.210.0%1st Place
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4.57George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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11.04Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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6.15Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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13.39Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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11.1Queen's University0.530.0%1st Place
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16.3William and Mary-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 12.5% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 14.8% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 19.3% | 17.2% | 5.8% |
| Amanda Stapp | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 26.9% | 9.4% |
| Elleanor Wells | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 2.0% |
| Riley Legault | 16.0% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lola Bushnell | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 23.8% | 7.0% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Raymond | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 11.8% | 73.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.