← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.82vs Predicted
-
2University of Virginia1.27+6.19vs Predicted
-
3Queen's University0.53+7.54vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.77+0.18vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.76-0.97vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-1.12vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.26vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.85vs Predicted
-
9Columbia University-0.24+3.82vs Predicted
-
10Monmouth University0.53+0.51vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University0.21+0.51vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University0.91-2.69vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.74-6.06vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.46vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University0.22-3.63vs Predicted
-
16Drexel University-0.42-2.77vs Predicted
-
17William and Mary-2.18-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.82University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
-
8.19University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
-
10.54Queen's University0.530.0%1st Place
-
4.18Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
-
4.03George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
-
4.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
-
5.74U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
-
5.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
-
12.82Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
-
10.51Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
-
11.51Old Dominion University0.210.0%1st Place
-
9.31Georgetown University0.910.0%1st Place
-
6.94Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
-
13.54SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
-
11.37Christopher Newport University0.220.0%1st Place
-
13.23Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
-
16.23William and Mary-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenox Butcher | 14.0% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 16.5% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 17.9% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 5.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Elleanor Wells | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Meaghan MacRae | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Stapp | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 26.4% | 8.9% |
| Laura Kilgore | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 1.6% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 7.9% |
| Sarah Raymond | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.