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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+4.05vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.19+3.93vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.76+1.43vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+0.52vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.74+2.23vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-0.22vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.35+1.69vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia1.27+0.67vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.43-3.49vs Predicted
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10Columbia University-0.24+3.09vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.14-4.62vs Predicted
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12Queen's University0.53-0.92vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.21-1.05vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University0.53-2.84vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.29vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-2.18+0.27vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-0.42-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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5.93Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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4.43George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.52Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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7.23Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.69Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Virginia1.270.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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13.09Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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11.08Queen's University0.530.0%1st Place
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11.95Old Dominion University0.210.0%1st Place
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11.16Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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13.71SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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16.27William and Mary-2.180.0%1st Place
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13.56Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 14.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 14.6% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 16.3% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 9.2% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 4.9% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Elleanor Wells | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 1.8% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 26.0% | 10.4% |
| Sarah Raymond | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 12.0% | 72.9% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 19.0% | 23.2% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.