← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+4.02vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.77+2.36vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.19+3.03vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.76+0.54vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University1.35+3.58vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.40vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.31vs Predicted
-
8Monmouth University0.53+2.96vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania2.43-3.45vs Predicted
-
10University of Virginia1.27-1.13vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+2.87vs Predicted
-
12Columbia University-0.24+1.22vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.74-5.39vs Predicted
-
14Drexel University-0.16-0.94vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University0.21-2.95vs Predicted
-
16Queen's University0.53-4.74vs Predicted
-
17William and Mary-1.68-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
-
4.36Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
-
6.03Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
-
4.54George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
-
8.58Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
-
6.4U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
-
5.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
-
10.96Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
-
5.55University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
-
8.87University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
-
13.87SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
-
13.22Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
-
7.61Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
-
13.06Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
-
12.05Old Dominion University0.210.0%1st Place
-
11.26Queen's University0.530.0%1st Place
-
15.93William and Mary-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 13.4% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 15.9% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 15.5% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 27.0% | 14.9% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 7.3% |
| Amanda Stapp | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 19.7% | 15.9% | 7.6% |
| Elleanor Wells | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 3.0% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Hannah O'Neil | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 63.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.