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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+3.38vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+2.43vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.27+5.90vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+1.31vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University0.53+5.99vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.43-0.46vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.74+0.41vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.35+0.52vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.24+4.32vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.19-4.00vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.14-4.59vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-6.33vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.89vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.21-1.84vs Predicted
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15Queen's University0.53-3.90vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.16-2.96vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-1.68-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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4.43George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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8.9University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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5.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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10.99Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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5.54University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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7.41Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.52Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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13.32Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.0Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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5.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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13.89SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.16Old Dominion University0.210.0%1st Place
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11.1Queen's University0.530.0%1st Place
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13.04Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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15.92William and Mary-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 17.2% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 15.3% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Lenox Butcher | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 20.5% | 7.5% |
| Lola Bushnell | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 23.3% | 16.0% |
| Elleanor Wells | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 2.6% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 6.9% |
| Hannah O'Neil | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.