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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.43+4.32vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.19+4.08vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77+1.52vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.43vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.24+8.05vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia1.27+3.18vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-1.69vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.37vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.35-0.15vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.76-5.48vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University0.53+0.26vs Predicted
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12Queen's University0.53-0.84vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.160.00vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.04-7.28vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.21-2.95vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-1.68-0.12vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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6.08Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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4.52Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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13.05Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.18University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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5.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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5.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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8.85Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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4.52George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.26Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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11.16Queen's University0.530.0%1st Place
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13.0Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.72Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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12.05Old Dominion University0.210.0%1st Place
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15.88William and Mary-1.680.0%1st Place
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14.04SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenox Butcher | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 15.0% | 16.3% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 8.5% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 15.0% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 7.5% |
| Grace Howie | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elleanor Wells | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 3.7% |
| Hannah O'Neil | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 61.7% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 25.7% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.