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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+4.19vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.19+4.09vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.71vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.76+0.60vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.14+1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.43-0.39vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77-2.52vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.35+0.62vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+4.96vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia1.27-1.04vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University0.53+0.16vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.24+1.16vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.04-6.27vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.21-1.88vs Predicted
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15Queen's University0.53-3.88vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.16-3.03vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-2.18-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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6.09Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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5.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.6George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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4.48Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.62Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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13.96SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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11.16Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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13.16Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.73Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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12.12Old Dominion University0.210.0%1st Place
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11.12Queen's University0.530.0%1st Place
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12.97Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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16.35William and Mary-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 15.1% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 14.1% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 29.9% | 9.5% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 20.4% | 5.7% |
| Grace Howie | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elleanor Wells | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 10.6% | 2.0% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 5.7% |
| Sarah Raymond | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 75.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.