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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.43+4.17vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+4.73vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.35+5.54vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.74+3.41vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.04vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.76-1.51vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.81vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.19-2.15vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.77-4.50vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.53+0.99vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University0.530.00vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia1.27-3.27vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.72vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.42-0.45vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.24-2.02vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-2.18+0.25vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.21-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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6.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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8.54Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.41Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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4.49George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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5.85Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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4.5Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.99Queen's University0.530.0%1st Place
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11.0Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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13.72SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.55Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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12.98Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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16.25William and Mary-2.180.0%1st Place
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11.95Old Dominion University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lenox Butcher | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 13.6% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 14.0% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 14.0% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 27.0% | 8.9% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 19.6% | 24.5% | 7.4% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 5.8% |
| Sarah Raymond | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 11.9% | 73.6% |
| Elleanor Wells | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.