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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+4.02vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.43+3.22vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.19+2.92vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia1.27+4.74vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.74+2.20vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+0.92vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76-2.61vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.77-3.67vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.24+4.16vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.21+1.92vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+2.76vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.35-3.48vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University0.53-1.98vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.14-7.84vs Predicted
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15Queen's University0.53-4.05vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.42-2.50vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-2.18-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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5.92Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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7.2Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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4.39George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.33Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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13.16Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.92Old Dominion University0.210.0%1st Place
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13.76SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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8.52Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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11.02Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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10.95Queen's University0.530.0%1st Place
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13.5Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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16.28William and Mary-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 14.8% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 17.6% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 5.8% |
| Elleanor Wells | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 2.3% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 26.1% | 11.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 0.5% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 21.7% | 7.3% |
| Sarah Raymond | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 13.3% | 71.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.