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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.88vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+2.22vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.35+5.48vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+2.68vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University0.53+5.76vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.43-0.69vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77-2.78vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia1.27+0.55vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+4.85vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.42+3.40vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.24+2.00vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.04-5.71vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.74-5.61vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-2.18+2.23vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.87-8.22vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.21-4.07vs Predicted
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17Queen's University0.53-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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4.22George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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8.48Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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6.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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10.76Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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4.22Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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8.55University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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13.85SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.4Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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13.0Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.29Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.39Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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16.23William and Mary-2.180.0%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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11.93Old Dominion University0.210.0%1st Place
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11.04Queen's University0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 16.5% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 0.6% |
| Lenox Butcher | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 15.4% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 28.0% | 9.9% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 19.8% | 20.0% | 6.9% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 18.8% | 5.5% |
| Macey McCann | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Raymond | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 11.4% | 73.8% |
| Mary Robertson | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elleanor Wells | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 2.2% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.