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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+3.23vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.19+3.83vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.04vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University0.53+7.01vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.35+3.31vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.87+1.00vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.74+0.27vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76-3.69vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia1.27-0.12vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.21+1.93vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-4.19vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.43-6.81vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.76vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.24-0.82vs Predicted
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15Queen's University0.53-4.05vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.16-3.01vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-2.18-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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5.83Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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5.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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11.01Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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8.31Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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7.27Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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4.31George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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8.88University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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11.93Old Dominion University0.210.0%1st Place
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6.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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5.19University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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13.76SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.18Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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10.95Queen's University0.530.0%1st Place
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12.99Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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16.32William and Mary-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 17.6% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 9.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 12.5% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mary Robertson | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 16.4% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Elleanor Wells | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 2.6% |
| Christine Moloney | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 25.8% | 11.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 23.2% | 5.2% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Raymond | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 74.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.