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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.19+4.76vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.77+2.22vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.43+2.19vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.76+0.38vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.74+2.15vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.82vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.87-0.07vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-1.39vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.35-0.35vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia1.27-1.31vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+2.79vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University0.53-0.97vs Predicted
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13Queen's University0.53-1.94vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.24-0.84vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-2.18+1.24vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.21-4.02vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-0.16-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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4.22Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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5.19University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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4.38George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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7.15Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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6.93U. S. Naval Academy1.870.1%1st Place
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6.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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8.65Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Virginia1.270.0%1st Place
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13.79SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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11.03Monmouth University0.530.0%1st Place
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11.06Queen's University0.530.0%1st Place
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13.16Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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16.24William and Mary-2.180.0%1st Place
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11.98Old Dominion University0.210.0%1st Place
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12.96Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lola Bushnell | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 16.9% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 11.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 16.7% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 11.5% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Robertson | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Anna Louise Devanny | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 28.3% | 10.5% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 0.5% |
| Natalie Tanczak | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 20.7% | 5.4% |
| Sarah Raymond | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 74.4% |
| Elleanor Wells | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 2.5% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 20.0% | 16.5% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.