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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.95+2.38vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.84+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.12-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.92-1.66vs Predicted
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6Marquette University1.11-1.31vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota1.18-2.33vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-0.31-0.93vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-0.09-2.26vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.45-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Northwestern University1.950.2%1st Place
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3.71University of Michigan1.840.1%1st Place
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3.11University of Wisconsin2.120.2%1st Place
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3.34University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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4.69Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Toledo-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.28Michigan State University-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Davies | 19.3% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 14.2% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Kate Klement | 23.0% | 20.4% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cyrul | 20.7% | 16.8% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Clulo | 8.0% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 14.6% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 15.4% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 19.9% | 37.8% | 17.2% |
| Drew Blackburn | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 26.7% | 30.0% | 12.3% |
| Noah Marzke | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 16.6% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.