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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.84+2.55vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.95+1.53vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.12+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.92-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota1.18-1.41vs Predicted
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7Marquette University1.11-2.22vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.09-1.23vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-0.31-1.94vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.45-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of Michigan1.840.2%1st Place
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3.53Northwestern University1.950.2%1st Place
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3.11University of Wisconsin2.120.2%1st Place
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3.34University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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4.59University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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4.78Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Toledo-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.27Michigan State University-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Wolters | 17.7% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 15.8% | 19.5% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kate Klement | 23.1% | 20.3% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cyrul | 20.7% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Clulo | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 20.9% | 16.1% | 5.8% | 0.7% |
| Drew Blackburn | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 25.1% | 32.6% | 11.7% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 22.3% | 32.7% | 19.6% |
| Noah Marzke | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 6.8% | 18.1% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.