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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.08+4.19vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46+8.66vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.03+5.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.58+1.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.69-2.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.42+0.53vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.07+1.73vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74+4.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.87+3.59vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.40+0.15vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.84+1.51vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.19+2.08vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.52-1.72vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.88-1.30vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.88-2.11vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.89-3.30vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.91-4.32vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.55-2.27vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.84-1.95vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.90+0.81vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-2.46-1.68vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-2.15-4.04vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-2.82-2.50vs Predicted
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25University of California at Irvine-1.43-8.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.0811.7%1st Place
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4.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.4519.0%1st Place
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11.66University of California at Santa Cruz-0.462.5%1st Place
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9.11University of California at San Diego0.035.2%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.587.5%1st Place
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3.67University of California at Santa Cruz1.6921.6%1st Place
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7.53University of California at Berkeley0.426.1%1st Place
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9.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.073.3%1st Place
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13.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.741.6%1st Place
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13.59University of California at San Diego-0.871.8%1st Place
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11.15Arizona State University-0.403.0%1st Place
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13.51University of California at Berkeley-0.841.7%1st Place
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15.08San Diego State University-1.191.1%1st Place
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12.28Arizona State University-0.522.4%1st Place
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13.7University of California at Irvine-0.881.9%1st Place
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13.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.881.7%1st Place
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13.7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.891.6%1st Place
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13.68San Diego State University-0.912.4%1st Place
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16.73Arizona State University-1.550.8%1st Place
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18.05University of California at Los Angeles-1.840.5%1st Place
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21.81University of California at Davis-2.900.3%1st Place
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20.32University of California at Davis-2.460.2%1st Place
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18.96University of California at Davis-2.151.1%1st Place
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21.5University of California at Los Angeles-2.820.1%1st Place
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16.02University of California at Irvine-1.431.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Engebretson | 11.7% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Henderson | 19.0% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Whitehill | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kim | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 21.6% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Baumgartner | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Burns | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bussey | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Down | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Bennett Alger | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Fletcher Steinberg | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Mason Norwood | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 4.6% |
| James Carney | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 18.9% | 35.2% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 17.2% |
| Nicholas Conti | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 8.2% |
| Sophie Nuckowski | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 19.9% | 28.3% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.