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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.84+2.56vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.95+0.54vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.92-0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.12-2.01vs Predicted
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6Marquette University1.11-1.29vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota1.18-2.32vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-0.31-0.93vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.45-0.73vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-0.09-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56University of Michigan1.840.2%1st Place
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3.54Northwestern University1.950.2%1st Place
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3.44University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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2.99University of Wisconsin2.120.3%1st Place
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4.71Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.27Michigan State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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6.73University of Toledo-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Wolters | 17.6% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 15.6% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cyrul | 19.1% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kate Klement | 25.1% | 20.7% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Clulo | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 6.9% | 1.4% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 19.0% | 15.0% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 22.2% | 37.4% | 17.0% |
| Noah Marzke | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 15.6% | 67.4% |
| Drew Blackburn | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 12.7% | 24.2% | 30.3% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.