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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.95+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.12+0.24vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.84-0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.31+2.00vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.92-2.65vs Predicted
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7Marquette University1.11-2.23vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.09-1.24vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota1.18-4.30vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.45-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Northwestern University1.950.2%1st Place
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3.24University of Wisconsin2.120.2%1st Place
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3.56University of Michigan1.840.2%1st Place
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7.0University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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3.35University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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4.77Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Toledo-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.7University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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8.27Michigan State University-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Davies | 19.6% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 18.6% | 21.5% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mason Wolters | 17.6% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 20.5% | 35.0% | 17.1% |
| Christian Cyrul | 21.1% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Clulo | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 20.9% | 14.0% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Drew Blackburn | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 25.7% | 30.5% | 12.8% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 1.0% |
| Noah Marzke | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 67.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.