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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.95+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.12+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.84+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.92-1.66vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-0.31+0.94vs Predicted
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7Marquette University1.11-2.22vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.09-1.21vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota1.18-4.29vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.45-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Northwestern University1.950.2%1st Place
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3.25University of Wisconsin2.120.2%1st Place
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3.56University of Michigan1.840.2%1st Place
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3.34University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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6.94University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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4.78Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Toledo-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.71University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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8.27Michigan State University-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Davies | 20.3% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 18.6% | 21.3% | 18.7% | 18.0% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 17.9% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Christian Cyrul | 20.5% | 17.7% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 21.3% | 31.7% | 18.5% |
| Ryan Clulo | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 20.9% | 15.4% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Drew Blackburn | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 24.4% | 32.0% | 13.1% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 7.2% | 1.1% |
| Noah Marzke | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 18.7% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.