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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.95+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.12+0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.84-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.92-1.64vs Predicted
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6Marquette University1.11-1.32vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-0.09-0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-0.31-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota1.18-4.32vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.45-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Northwestern University1.950.2%1st Place
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3.28University of Wisconsin2.120.2%1st Place
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3.58University of Michigan1.840.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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4.68Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Toledo-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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4.68University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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8.27Michigan State University-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Davies | 19.9% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 18.3% | 21.5% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 18.2% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Christian Cyrul | 20.1% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Clulo | 8.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Drew Blackburn | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 25.5% | 30.8% | 12.5% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 22.7% | 35.7% | 16.9% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Noah Marzke | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 7.5% | 16.5% | 67.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.